Padres Allowing 90% SB Success Rate

This isn't a shock to anyone who has watched Padre baseball this season - teams run wild on the Friars. How wild? Try 155 stolen bases this season - 55 more than the next closest NL team. It would seem likely that Bud Black's club should at least throw out more running than other clubs, given all the stolen base attempts. Wrong. The Friars have a NL low 10% rate of catching runners (just 18 on the season). Let that sink in for a moment.

No big deal you might say, we've heard all season how only 18% of those baserunners score. That may be true, but on the season that would erode 40% of the Padres run differential over opposing teams, on average, from just over .50 runs per game down to about .30 runs per game. That's still a positive differential - but it sure isn't providing much room for error.